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- Eur 003.temperature + (The average inferred July temperatures bet … The average inferred July temperatures between ca 1900 and 2001 AD were significantly warmer (p < 0.05) than the climate reference period (1961-1990) by 1C which is in agreement with the instrumental data. The inferred July temperatures were in the same range as the inferred temperatures during the last part of the MCA suggesting that during the 20th century at Lake Silvaplana the chironomid-inferred temperatures do not exceed the natural climate variability of the past millennium.l climate variability of the past millennium.)